Welcome back El Nino

ScottFJ40 · 09-14-2006, 05:45 AM

oooooh, I'm SOOOOO scared

http://www.abcnews.go.com/Technology...2429520&page=1

El Nino Returns
Warmer, Wetter Winter, but Fewer Hurricanes
By CLAYTON SANDELL

Sept. 13, 2006 — - El Nino is back.

Forecasters say a new El Nino -- a patch of unusually warm water in the tropical Pacific Ocean that develops every few years -- will mean warmer temperatures and stormier weather for the United States this winter.

In past years, El Ninos have been blamed for rearranging world weather patterns. Typically, they bring increased storms to the West Coast, and wet weather to the Southeast.

The good news is that El Nino may help explain why the 2006 Atlantic hurricane season has been relatively quiet.

Last year's season set a record of 27 named tropical storms and hurricanes. This year, there's been only seven.

"El Nino alters the atmospheric circulation pattern," said Vernon Kousky, an El Nino expert at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. "There is an increase of winds that shear off the tops of thunderstorms before they have a chance to spin up and become a tropical storm. Wind shear is a bad thing for hurricanes."

Kousky doesn't want anyone to get complacent.

"We don't want people to let their guard down," he said. "There's still a lot of hurricane season left to go, and you can still have substantial hurricane activity."

This year's El Nino began in late August or early September, later than the usual spring start.

That means the effects will be more moderate than the strong El Nino season of 1997-1998, for example.

Kousky says this El Nino event will likely hang around until early spring.

When an El Nino forms in the Pacific, it generally means drier conditions for places like Malaysia, Indonesia, and the Philippines, researchers say.

As winter approaches, El Nino will begin to change the jet stream over the Northern Hemisphere and affect the temperature and weather patterns over the United States.

The northern United States, much of the West, Great Lakes, and parts of New England will experience warmer than normal temperatures.

"And we'd expect stormier, wetter conditions for much of the Southwest, southern Texas, Florida and the Southeast," Kousky said.

Some scientific studies have suggested that El Nino events could become much more common in the future if the amount of heat-trapping greenhouse gasses in the atmosphere continues to increase.

A team of scientists published a study Monday that linked warming ocean temperatures to human-caused greenhouse gas pollution, for example.

Not all scientists agree that global warming will affect El Nino conditions, but Kousky says researchers are studying the issue.

"El Nino is a natural phenomenon that transports heat out of the Tropics and gives it away so we maintain some kind of climatic equilibrium," Kousky said.

"If we alter the normal temperature distribution due to global warming, the whole globe will warm up. Maybe the new climate state will not require an El Nino. Another possibility is that we could go into a perpetual El Nino."

El Nino means little boy in Spanish and refers to the birth of Jesus, because the effects of the weather pattern usually reach a peak around Christmas.

4in100 · 09-14-2006, 05:49 AM

Bummer it's going to rain more in Atlanta...guess I'd better put a plow on my truck to move the dumb fawkers that can't drive outta my way.

Benzz0 · 09-14-2006, 06:11 AM

unusually warm water....TOO MANY PEOPLE PISSING AT THE BEACH!

STOP PEEING IN THE FAWKING OCEANS!!!

IndyCJ · 09-14-2006, 06:16 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Benzz0

unusually warm water....TOO MANY PEOPLE PISSING AT THE BEACH!

STOP PEEING IN THE FAWKING OCEANS!!!

Sorry, that was me. In cancun last week, relieved myself several times.

I love the ocean. I tried to pee in it's butt.

Kitty Cat · 09-14-2006, 06:17 AM

I love El Nino

Dieselmh · 09-14-2006, 06:56 AM

Warmer winters, more rain, and fewer hurricanes. What's the bad news?

xanthias · 09-14-2006, 07:03 AM

strobengh · 09-14-2006, 07:14 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by xanthias

"all the other tropical stroms must bow before El Nino!"

"El Nino is spanish for . . . the Nino

4in100 · 09-14-2006, 07:19 AM

rain makes Tellico FUN!

mantis · 09-14-2006, 07:28 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dieselmh

Warmer winters, more rain, and fewer hurricanes. What's the bad news?

My thoughts exactly. Sounds like a win-win situation to me.

mike · 09-14-2006, 09:01 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mantis

My thoughts exactly. Sounds like a win-win situation to me.

no shit, especially since we've already had a wet summer.. maybe we'll get closer to breaking out of this drought.

Old Scout · 09-14-2006, 09:04 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dieselmh

Warmer winters, more rain, and fewer hurricanes. What's the bad news?

It makes for a shitty snow pack in the Sierra. Some of us like to ski!

mike · 09-14-2006, 09:05 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Old Scout

It makes for a shitty snow pack in the Sierra. Some of us like to ski!

Fawk you and your skiing, I want to be able to drink water

Pooge · 09-14-2006, 09:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by xanthias

DAMN YOU, beat me to it!

Haz-matt · 09-14-2006, 09:07 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mike

Fawk you and your skiing, I want to be able to drink water

Water is so last year.

Old Scout · 09-14-2006, 09:08 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mike

Fawk you and your skiing, I want to be able to drink water

Move out of the desert

It also make renting my tahoe place a PITA!

Sluice Sally · 09-14-2006, 09:12 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Old Scout

It makes for a shitty snow pack in the Sierra. Some of us like to ski!

I was kinda looking forward to our first winter up here

Mo · 09-14-2006, 09:24 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mike

Fawk you and your skiing, I want to be able to drink water

when there's beer available? are you mad?

mrtwstr · 09-14-2006, 10:26 AM

I allways thought El Nino was spanish for "better duck hunting"

Cuz that's sure as hell what it means for me!!

Bring it on!!!!!

DavidVanVorous · 09-14-2006, 11:18 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sluice Sally

I was kinda looking forward to our first winter up here

Check the Farmers Almanac before getting depressed/in a blue funk. They are saying something a tad different...

D.

sierravalley · 09-14-2006, 11:21 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Old Scout

It makes for a shitty snow pack in the Sierra. Some of us like to ski!

A no

Actually brings lots of snow, heavy wet snow.

beerisgood · 09-14-2006, 11:39 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Old Scout

It makes for a shitty snow pack in the Sierra. Some of us like to ski!

and snowmobile.

mike · 09-14-2006, 11:45 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mo

when there's beer available? are you mad?

Must have water to brew beer

keller · 09-14-2006, 11:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DavidVanVorous

Check the Farmers Almanac before getting depressed/in a blue funk. They are saying something a tad different...

D.

I was just abou to bring that up

they say COLD COLD COLD SNOW SNOW SNOW

and they have been pretty spot on

Bubba Ray Boudreaux · 09-14-2006, 11:56 AM

Hopefully it kicks the Rockies ass with several million feet of snow this year..................

09-14-2006, 05:45 AM	#1
ScottFJ40 Zeus of the Sluice Join Date: Apr 2002 Member # 11268 Location: Planet Earth Posts: 2,916	Welcome back El Nino oooooh, I'm SOOOOO scared http://www.abcnews.go.com/Technology...2429520&page=1 El Nino Returns Warmer, Wetter Winter, but Fewer Hurricanes By CLAYTON SANDELL Sept. 13, 2006 — - El Nino is back. Forecasters say a new El Nino -- a patch of unusually warm water in the tropical Pacific Ocean that develops every few years -- will mean warmer temperatures and stormier weather for the United States this winter. In past years, El Ninos have been blamed for rearranging world weather patterns. Typically, they bring increased storms to the West Coast, and wet weather to the Southeast. The good news is that El Nino may help explain why the 2006 Atlantic hurricane season has been relatively quiet. Last year's season set a record of 27 named tropical storms and hurricanes. This year, there's been only seven. "El Nino alters the atmospheric circulation pattern," said Vernon Kousky, an El Nino expert at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. "There is an increase of winds that shear off the tops of thunderstorms before they have a chance to spin up and become a tropical storm. Wind shear is a bad thing for hurricanes." Kousky doesn't want anyone to get complacent. "We don't want people to let their guard down," he said. "There's still a lot of hurricane season left to go, and you can still have substantial hurricane activity." This year's El Nino began in late August or early September, later than the usual spring start. That means the effects will be more moderate than the strong El Nino season of 1997-1998, for example. Kousky says this El Nino event will likely hang around until early spring. When an El Nino forms in the Pacific, it generally means drier conditions for places like Malaysia, Indonesia, and the Philippines, researchers say. As winter approaches, El Nino will begin to change the jet stream over the Northern Hemisphere and affect the temperature and weather patterns over the United States. The northern United States, much of the West, Great Lakes, and parts of New England will experience warmer than normal temperatures. "And we'd expect stormier, wetter conditions for much of the Southwest, southern Texas, Florida and the Southeast," Kousky said. Some scientific studies have suggested that El Nino events could become much more common in the future if the amount of heat-trapping greenhouse gasses in the atmosphere continues to increase. A team of scientists published a study Monday that linked warming ocean temperatures to human-caused greenhouse gas pollution, for example. Not all scientists agree that global warming will affect El Nino conditions, but Kousky says researchers are studying the issue. "El Nino is a natural phenomenon that transports heat out of the Tropics and gives it away so we maintain some kind of climatic equilibrium," Kousky said. "If we alter the normal temperature distribution due to global warming, the whole globe will warm up. Maybe the new climate state will not require an El Nino. Another possibility is that we could go into a perpetual El Nino." El Nino means little boy in Spanish and refers to the birth of Jesus, because the effects of the weather pattern usually reach a peak around Christmas. __________________ "What do you mean, I ain't kind? I'm just not your kind." Help Mason! Help Zach and Alec!

09-14-2006, 06:17 AM	#5
Kitty Cat Like tongue? Join Date: Oct 2002 Member # 14121 Location: walking distance from everything Posts: 255	I love El Nino __________________ For a gay man he's rude we have one thing in common we both suck dick. Too bad I can't get pointers

09-14-2006, 06:56 AM	#6
Dieselmh Hungry! Join Date: Aug 2001 Member # 6417 Posts: 1,798	Warmer winters, more rain, and fewer hurricanes. What's the bad news? __________________ Everything I type is good natured flaming in the name of fun, not mean spirited or vicious bullshit.

09-14-2006, 10:26 AM	#19
mrtwstr 76 Green Heads Join Date: Jun 2002 Member # 12370 Location: Seaside,CA Posts: 2,365	I allways thought El Nino was spanish for "better duck hunting" Cuz that's sure as hell what it means for me!! Bring it on!!!!! __________________ My mom thinks I'm special! XXX Traction.com Triple-X Traction.com Lavender Brothers.com

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09-14-2006, 05:49 AM	#2
4in100 one dollarionaire Join Date: Aug 2005 Member # 51267 Location: Buford, GA Posts: 1,716	Bummer it's going to rain more in Atlanta...guess I'd better put a plow on my truck to move the dumb fawkers that can't drive outta my way.

09-14-2006, 06:11 AM	#3
Benzz0 Zues of the Juice... Join Date: Sep 2003 Member # 22923 Location: Richmond, VA Posts: 1,120	unusually warm water....TOO MANY PEOPLE PISSING AT THE BEACH! STOP PEEING IN THE FAWKING OCEANS!!!

09-14-2006, 07:19 AM	#9
4in100 one dollarionaire Join Date: Aug 2005 Member # 51267 Location: Buford, GA Posts: 1,716	rain makes Tellico FUN!